广东省后汛期强对流天气潜势预报方法研究   总被引：5，自引：5，他引：0  

谌志刚  王婷  汪瑛  冯业荣 《气象》2011,37(8):936-942

利用2007—2008年两年7—10月广东后汛期强对流天气出现时的雷达资料、对应的GRAPES模式资料以及地市台站上报的强对流天气发生的实况,把瞬时大风〉17.2 m·s^-1、冰雹、龙卷作为强对流发生的依据,对上述数据进行整理。根据广州热带海洋研究所中尺度模式的输出GRAPES资料,结合雷达CAPPI数据,计算单体的各层风速、温度、湿度、有效位能等环境特征量,将单体特征和模式计算的单体环境场要素以及强对流发生实况,通过多元逐步回归方法建立后汛期强对流天气潜势预报方程,据此对发生于广东省后汛期强对流天气（如雷雨大风、冰雹和龙卷风）进行0～1小时临近预报。用预报成功率（POD）、虚假警报率（FAR）和关键成功指数（CSI）衡量方法的预报性能。共有5540个有效样本参与回归计算,31个因子中有12个引入了回归方程,建立的预报方程在阈值取为0.26时,得到的预报成功率POD为0.73,虚假警报率FAR为0.61,关键成功指数CSI为0.338,各项指标均要好于前汛期预报性能;从实际的预报能力来看,在后汛期强对流潜势预报中,后汛期强对流潜势预报方法得到的空报率和漏报率都要低于前汛期,预报效果较好,可用于广东后汛期的强对流天气潜势预报中。  相似文献   

2008年汶川Ms8.0地震前龙门山—岷山构造带的地震活动性参数与地震视应力分布   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

易桂喜  闻学泽  辛华  乔慧珍  龙锋  王思维 《地球物理学报》2011,54(6):1490-1500

本文利用网川区域台网最近30多年的地震资料,计算了2008年四川汶川MS8.0地震前沿龙门山—岷山构造带的多个地震活动性参数(包括震级-频度关系中的a、6与a/6值,复发间隔丁r值),同时,计算了震前2年多的时间内ML≥3.5地震的视应力.在此基础上分析了地震活动性参数值和地震视应力的空间分布与汶川主震破裂范围、MS≥...  相似文献   

System identification of a building from multiple seismic records     

Hasan S. Ulusoy  Maria Q. Feng  Paul J. Fanning 《地震工程与结构动力学》2011,40(6):661-674

This paper describes the identification of finite dimensional, linear, time‐invariant models of a 4‐story building in the state space representation using multiple data sets of earthquake response. The building, instrumented with 31 accelerometers, is located on the University of California, Irvine campus. Multiple data sets, recorded during the 2005 Yucaipa, 2005 San Clemente, 2008 Chino Hills and 2009 Inglewood earthquakes, are used for identification and validation. Considering the response of the building as the output and the ground motion as the input, the state space models that represent the underlying dynamics of the building in the discrete‐time domain corresponding to each data set are identified. The time‐domain Eigensystem Realization Algorithm with the Observer/Kalman filter identification procedure are adopted in this paper, and the modal parameters of the identified models are consistently determined by constructing stabilization diagrams. The four state space models identified demonstrate that the response of the building is amplitude dependent with the response frequency and damping, being dependent on the magnitude of ground excitation. The practical application of this finding is that the consistency of this building response to future earthquakes can be quickly assessed, within the range of ground excitations considered (0.005g–0.074g), for consistency with prior response—this assessment of consistent response is discussed and demonstrated with reference to the four earthquake events considered in this study. Inclusion of data sets relating to future earthquakes will enable the findings to be extended to a wider range of ground excitation magnitudes. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

基于小波变换的补燃循环火箭发动机模态参数辨识     

杜飞平  谭永华  陈建华 《地震工程与工程振动》2011,31(4):150-157

文中阐述基于小波变换的结构模态参数辨识方法的基本原理.首先介绍Heisenberg测不准原理,该原理限制了时频能量的同时集中.因小波变换的窗口可以随信号特征不同而变化,符合实际信号的要求.然后论述利用小波脊线的方法识别单自由度和多自由度系统的模态参数的理论.将该方法应用于某型补燃循环液体火箭发动机模态参数辨识中,得到了...  相似文献   

宁夏地区中小地震震源参数的研究     

许英才  许文俊  李鸿庭 《地震地磁观测与研究》2011,32(6):35-41

利用宁夏及邻区的数字测震资料,选取2009年5月至2010年10月间的31个M2.7-ML4.9地震事件的波形记录,以Brune提出的震源谱为平方模型基础,通过消除观测谱中的几何扩散、非弹性衰减、场地响应、仪器响应等影响因素,得到这些地震的震源谱,根据Brune的圆盘震源模型计算并研究地震矩、矩震级、地震应力降、震源尺...  相似文献   

Application of constrained sparse spike inversion in reservoir predication:a case study of Oriente Basin in South America     

WANG Qing  LU Zhanguo . Key Laboratory of Geo-detection of Ministry of Education  China University of Geosciences  Beijing  China 《东北亚地学研究》2011,(2)

In the conditions of low Signal-to-Noise Ratio(SNR) of seismic data and a small quality of log information,the consequences of seismic interpretation through the impedance inversion of seismic data could be more precise. Constrained sparse spike inversion(CSSI) has advantage in oil and gas reservoir predication because it does not rely on the original model. By analyzing the specific algorithm of CSSI,the accuracy of inversion is controlled. Oriente Basin in South America has the low amplitude in geological...  相似文献   

Direct PCR amplification of the 16S rRNA gene from single microbial cells isolated from an Antarctic iceberg using laser microdissection microscopy     

Katsuhiko Yanagihara  Hironori Niki  Tomoya Baba 《Polar Science》2011,5(3):375-382

Here, we describe a technique that allows the genetic linage analysis of 16S rRNA genes in bacteria observed under a microscope. The technique includes the isolation of microbial cells using a laser microdissection microscope, lysis of the cells, and amplification of the 16S rRNA genes in the isolated cells without interference by bacterial DNA contamination from the experimental environment or reagents. Using this technique, we successfully determined 15 16S rRNA gene sequences in cells isolated from an Antarctic iceberg. These sequences showed 94%–100% identity to their closest strains, which included bacteria that occur in aqueous, marine, and soil environments.  相似文献   

Habitat modeling for health sovereignty: Increasing indigenous access to medicinal plants in northern Maine,USA     

《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2015

Medicinal plants and fungi play important roles in the health of Maliseet people of northern Maine, USA. A critical aspect of exercising choice in health care for this community is the ability to locate and have access to these plants. Habitat suitability modeling is a form of geospatial technology that can enhance health sovereignty by identifying locations in which populations of medicinal plants can be conserved or established. However, use of this technology within indigenous communities has been limited. Focusing on the medicinal plant muskrat root, Acorus americanus (Raf.) Raf., we generate a habitat suitability model for eastern Aroostook County, Maine (1,055,653.659 ha) that also takes community needs into consideration. Drawing on participatory ethnographic data as well as environmental characteristics, our model combines ecological and sociocultural parameters to identify previously unknown populations of A. americanus that are accessible to tribal elders. Our model successfully predicted 95% of A. americanus locations in our field validation data set of ∼71,000 ha. Results suggest that approximately 0.6% of our study area contains suitable habitat to plant muskrat root that could also meet tribal members' gathering needs for the future. Increasing the number of potential collection sites gives communities options for gathering, thereby enhancing health sovereignty. Broadly, our work suggests that, when done in partnership with communities, different forms of geospatial technology can be beneficial tools for efforts to promote health sovereignty.  相似文献   

地下电短天线的输入特性分析     

孙建国  康国军  张辉 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2004,34(1):128-133

地下电短天线的输入导纳是其几何尺寸、工作频率及地下和近地表物质(围岩及土层)电磁参数的函数.通过分析其变化规律得到下列结论:(1)短天线的输入导纳随频率的变化比较复杂.当频率较低时,短天线的输入电导随地下物质电磁参数的变化不明显,而输入电纳基本上随着频率的增高呈线性变化.(2)在频率比较低时,介电常数的变化对短天线的输入电导影响不明显,存在有一个电导曲线重合频段.对于低阻物质,这个重合频段的上限比较低;对于高阻物质,重合频段的上限升高.对于输入电纳,当电阻率和频率两者都较高时,其对介电常数的变化比较敏感.(3)输入导纳对低阻物质反应敏感,而对具有中等以上电阻率的物质基本上退化成为一条相同的频率变化曲线.(4)短天线的输入导纳值随其几何尺度的增加而增加.  相似文献   

Stable ⁸⁵Rb micro vapour cells: fabrication based on anodic bonding and application in chip-scale atomic clocks     

苏娟  邓科  郭等柱  汪中  陈兢  张耿民  陈徐宗 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(11)

We describe the microfabrication of ⁸⁵Rb vapour cells using a glass-silicon anodic bonding technique and in situ chemical reaction between rubidium chloride and barium azide to produce Rb. Under controlled conditions, the pure metallic Rb drops and buffer gases were obtained in the cells with a few mm³ internal volumes during the cell sealing process. At an ambient temperature of 90 ℃ the optical absorption resonance of ⁸⁵Rb D1 transition with proper broadening and the corresponding coherent population trapping (CPT) resonance, with a signal contrast of 1.5% and linewidth of about 1.7 kHz, have been detected. The sealing quality and the stability of the cells have also been demonstrated experimentally by using the helium leaking detection and the after-9-month optoelectronics measurement which shows a similar CPT signal as its original status. In addition, the physics package of chip-scale atomic clock (CSAC) based on the cell was realized. The measured frequency stability of the physics package can reach to 2.1×10^-10 at one second when the cell was heated to 100 ℃ which proved that the cell has the quality to be used in portable and battery-operated devices.  相似文献